在外界关注中美元首可能在今年9月会晤之际，美军又一次在台海方向刷起了存在感。
JERUSALEM -- Deadly violence has been surging in the West Bank as the Israeli military pursues Palestinian militants in the aftermath of the Hamas attack from Gaza, with at least 90 Palestinians killed in the Israeli-occupied territory in the past two weeks, mainly in clashes with Israeli troops.The violence threatens to open another front in the 2-week-old war, and puts pressure on the internationally recognized Palestinian Authority, which administers parts of the West Bank and is deeply unpopular among Palestinians, in large part because it cooperates with Israel on security matters. The tally includes five Palestinians killed in separate incidents on Sunday, including two who died in an airstrike on a mosque in the volatile Jenin refugee camp that Israel said was being used by militants. Israel carried out an airstrike during a battle in another West Bank refugee camp last week, in which 13 Palestinians, including five minors, and a member of Israel's paramilitary Border Police were killed. Israel rarely uses air power in the occupied West Bank, even as it has bombarded Hamas-ruled Gaza since the militant group stormed across the border on Oct. 7. More than 1,400 people have been killed in Israel since the war began, mostly civilians killed in the initial Hamas assault. The Hamas-run Health Ministry in Gaza says over 4,300 Palestinians have been killed. The Palestinian Health Ministry in the West Bank says 90 Palestinians have been killed there since Oct. 7, a dramatic jump from 197, according to an Associated Press count, from the start of the year until the Hamas attack. In addition to the raids, Palestinians have been killed in violent anti-Israel protests and in some instances in attacks by Jewish settlers.Israel clamped down on the territory immediately after the Hamas assault, closing crossings and checkpoints between Palestinian towns. Israel says its forces have detained over 700 suspects in the West Bank, including 480 members of Hamas, since the start of hostilities.Israel’s resumption of aerial attacks — which in a July operation in Jenin reached a level of intensity not seen since the Palestinian uprising against Israel two decades ago — suggests a shift in military tactics.The military described the Al-Ansar Mosque in Jenin as a militant compound belonging to Hamas and Islamic Jihad, a smaller and more radical Palestinian militant group. It said the militants had carried out several attacks in recent months and were planning another imminent assault.The intensified violence follows more than a year of escalating raids and arrests in the West Bank and deadly Palestinian attacks on Israelis.Israel captured the West Bank, along with Gaza and east Jerusalem, in the 1967 war. The Palestinians want all three territories for a future state. Over 500,000 Israelis live in settlements across the West Bank that most of the international community considers illegal, while the territory's more than 2.5 million Palestinians live under Israeli military rule.The Palestinians view the settlements as the greatest obstacle to resolving the conflict with Israel. The last serious and substantive peace talks broke down over a decade ago. Settler violence against Palestinians has also intensified since the Hamas attack. At least five Palestinians have been killed by settlers, according to Palestinian authorities, and rights groups say settlers have torched cars and attacked several small Bedouin communities, forcing them to evacuate to other areas.The West Bank Protection Consortium, a coalition of non-governmental organizations and donor countries, including the European Union, says at least 470 Palestinians have been forcibly displaced in the West Bank due to settler violence since Oct. 7. That's in addition to over 1,100 displaced since 2022. ___Associated Press writer Joseph Krauss contributed to this report.。据新加坡《联合早报》8月22日引述路透社报道，美国海军1架P-8A “海神” 巡逻机在8月21日飞越台湾海峡。美国第七舰队宣称，此举是“依据国际法进行”，意在展现美国对所谓 “自由开放印太” 的承诺。而中国军队消息人士透露，解放军对美机全程跟监警戒，情况尽在掌握。这次事件表面上看只是一次美军的惯常操作；但放到当前中美关系和台海局势中看，其意义并不寻常。首先，事件发生的时间点很敏感。
二 | 在外界普遍猜测中美元首将在下个月会晤之际，美方一边释放“管控分歧、促成会晤”的信号，一边又在台海方向展示军事存在。这种一手谈稳定、一手搞试探的做法，说明美国并没有真正放下“以台制华”的老套路，台海仍被其视作牵制中国、制造筹码、施加压力的重要抓手。其次，美军派出的飞机也不普通。P-8A是集海上巡逻、反潜作战、情报侦察于一体的军用平台。美方让这样一架飞机飞越台湾海峡，绝不只是象征性地“走一趟”。说到底，这依然是一种带有军事施压意味的抵近侦察，是对台海局势的刻意搅动，也是对“台独”势力的错误鼓噪。这些年，美方反复打着“航行自由”“国际空域”的旗号在台海做动作，无非是想达到两种效果：一是维持其在西太平洋的战略存在，二是维持对所谓盟友和岛内势力的心理支撑。
三 | 可问题在于，今天的台海，早已不是美国想来就来、想秀就秀的舞台。同样是8月21日，美军在阿拉斯加方向传来坠机事故：一架载有8人的飞机在偏远地区坠毁，机上人员全部遇难，事故原因仍在调查。表面上看，一边是意外事故，一边是所谓例行过航；但若放在同一张战略地图上看，它们共同说明了一点：美国的军事触角铺得很长，动作很多，但其能力短板、行动风险与战略战术代价也在越来越清楚地暴露出来。P-8A过航台湾海峡，不是什么新花样。说穿了，无非还是老一套：打着所谓“航行自由”的旗号，给“台独”势力打气，给地区局势添乱，也给美国国内和盟友做姿态表演。更值得注意的，是中方的应对方式：全程跟监警戒，情况尽在掌握。
四 | 这12个字说明，面对美军在台海方向的一举一动，中方已经形成了成熟、稳定、体系化的常态应对能力。你来，我知道；你动，我盯住；你想试探，我全程掌握。这是感知能力、处置能力和战略定力的综合体现。
五 | 美方每一次在台海方向刷存在感，实际上都在暴露其战略上的矛盾与焦虑。它既想同中国 “稳住关系”，又不肯放弃打“台湾牌”；既怕局势失控，又不断制造风险；既想维持霸权姿态，又越来越难以在现实层面占据主动。正因如此，这类行动看似来势汹汹，实则越来越成为一种边际效应递减的政治表演。台湾问题从来不是美国手里可以随意摆弄的一张牌，而是中国核心利益中的核心。任何借台湾问题搞军事施压、政治挑衅、战略试探的做法，最终都不可能改变一个基本事实：台湾问题的主导权，不在那些远道而来的军机军舰上，而在中国维护国家主权、统一和安全利益的坚定意志与扎实能力之中。所以，看待这次P-8A飞越台湾海峡事件，关键不在于美方又来了一次，而在于它究竟改变了什么。答案已经很清楚：它没有改变台海力量对比，没有改变中国的战略定力，也没有改变解放军对局势的全程掌控。相反，它只让外界看得更清楚——谁在制造紧张，谁在保持克制；谁在反复挑衅，谁在稳稳控局。过去那种美方一出手就足以搅动全局的时代，正在远去。美方若还执迷于“以台制华”，只会越来越清楚地看到一个结果：挑衅或可以制造噪音，却改不了大势。
六 | 美式“台海旧剧本”，该被淘汰了。
