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Americans Are Fighting Inflation by Buying Busch Light_我的网站

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周二拜登宣布向180亿美元中国商品，包括电动汽车、半导体、太阳能和电池，加征关税。 With inflation near 40-year highs and gas prices still far above normal, sub-premium beer Busch Light is flying off the shelves.,Busch Light’s manufacturer, beer giant Anheuser-Busch (A-B), has had less than stellar years recently. The company’s flagship beers Budweiser and Budlight have been consistently shedding market share, but the company’s cheapest option Busch Light has been performing well, jumping 4% in sales over the last year. It is now among the top three fastest-growing beers in the country and is also the country’s best-selling sub-premium beer.,Meanwhile, Busch Light’s competitors Coors Light and Miller Light have, like Bud Light, seen their sales drop in recent years. Busch Light’s success cannot be entirely attributed to inflation; its sales have increased over the past three years, well before gas prices and inflation started pinching Americans’ wallets, but it is hard not to think it is a factor.,Harry Schuhmacher, editor of Beer Business Daily, told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch that inflation and gas prices are undoubtedly contributing factors. He believes drinkers of premium light beers are likely switching to Busch Light to help make ends meet.,“If they’re living paycheck to paycheck, they’re definitely going to go that route,” Schumacher said.,It probably does not hurt that Busch Light makes a significant percentage of its sales at gas stations, where consumers are particularly feeling the pinch.,According to buykegbeer.com, the national average price of a ½ barrel keg of Busch Light is $80. Each keg contains 15.5 gallons of beer, making the price of Busch Light $5.16 per gallon when purchased that way. While that is higher than the national average price of gas, currently $4.75, it is cheaper than gasoline in multiple states, including the entire West Coast, Alaska, Hawaii, and Illinois.,Unfortunately, no car can currently run on Busch Light.,A-B pushing Busch Light’s presence on social media, as well as a Super Bowl commercial featuring Kenny G, and a sponsorship of the County Music Association Festival that made Busch Light the official beer of the event, are also factors cited for Busch Light’s recent rise in popularity.。

经过测算，这些关税大约会使得美国的通胀同比增长一个基点，也就是0.01个百分点，对GDP的拖累也同样是一个基点，都可以忽略不计。

B | 因为4月通胀下行，市场预期9月降息，美股创出新高。影响不大的主要原因就是之前对中国电动汽车征收的25%的关税，使得原本中国对美国出口就很少。

C | 去年中国向美国出口了大约3.7亿美元的电动车，欧盟向美国出口了近 75 亿美元。中国仅占美国进口电动汽车的2%。德国、韩国和日本的占比分别为22%、21%和18%。采取加征关税减少竞争的方法来保护电动汽车，只会让美国汽车制造商进步缓慢。而且美国现在严重依赖中国生产的电池，加征关税只会使得整车成本更贵，美国想买电动车的老百姓就只能支付更高价格了。在海外市场，中国电动车都可以凭借价格和技术取胜。美国车将一步步被边缘化，美国新能源产业会越来越落后。2020年大选，拜登猛烈抨击特朗普向中国3000亿美元进口商品的征税，严重伤害了美国，因为95%以上的关税都是由美国企业和家庭承担的。但拜登上任后，继承了这些关税，目的就是遏制中国的发展。而这一次加税主要目的是讨好摇摆州的选民。最新民调显示拜登在六个摇摆州的五个都落后特朗普。但是特朗普上台后，大概率会向所有国家加征关税，而且主要是针对中国。这几年贸易战打下来，美国经济学家都一致反对，新研究显示过去中美贸易顺畅时，美国家庭和企业都直接受惠，贸易战让大家直接受伤。即使是过去声称中国商品造成美国制造业工人失业的经济学家，也完全改变了态度。

拜登加征关税的行为，也引来了IMF发言人Julie Kozack的批评。她表示，美国针对中国的贸易限制措施可能会扭曲贸易和投资，使得供应链碎片化并引发报复行动。她说：“这种碎片化可能会让全球经济付出高昂的代价。”IMF确定2023年全球贸易限制约为3000项，高于2019年的1000项，在地缘政治集团严重分裂的最坏情况下，这可能会使全球经济产出减少约7%，相当于减少了日本和德国GDP的总和。

“关于关税，我们的观点是，美国最好保持其开放的贸易政策，这对其经济表现至关重要，”Kozack说，“我们还鼓励美国和中国共同努力，找到一个解决方案，解决加剧两国贸易紧张局势的根本问题。”

现在为拜登或者特朗普欢呼的选民，将来都会发现，是他们自己葬送了美国的就业和发展机会！

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