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自身多重问题导致美国通胀“高烧不退”_我的网站

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17:54:11

大王小王

自身多重问题导致美国通胀“高烧不退”_我的网站

流星之绊

A |     "Remember what happened in 1983? Two days after 241 Marines were blown up in Lebanon, the USA invaded tiny Grenada. Overnight, the previous headlines disappeared. I think we are seeing the same today. NATO is losing badly in Ukraine and it’s going to be a long winter for the West. Pounding its imperial chest with Taiwan is now what the MSM is reporting, much less so Ukraine," suggests Jeff J. Brown, author of "The China Trilogy," editor at China Rising Radio Sinoland, and curator of the Bioweapon Truth Commission.,If Pelosi travels to Taiwan, this would be the first time a high-ranking US politician visits the place in 25 years. Last time it was Newt Gingrich, then-speaker of the US House of Representatives, who arrived on the island in 1997, ignoring the Chinese leadership's discontent.,"I said firmly, 'We want you to understand, we will defend Taiwan. Period,'" Gingrich told the press at the time, as quoted by The New York Times. However, Clinton administration officials made it clear that Gingrich "was speaking for himself.",Likewise, it appears that Pelosi's apparent visit to Taiwan is not in line with the Biden administration's China policy, argues Francesco Sisci, a Beijing-based China expert, author, and columnist.,"American politics is not set like an omniscient Leviathan," the China expert says. "The Congress, the Senate, the executive all move according to different agendas which do not often coincide and are in conflict with one another. The issue is that there is a growing anti-Beijing sentiment in America and this has sometimes bursts which aren’t fully sorted out. I believe the visit is an expression of a sentiment, rather than of a clear cut plan.",According to CNN, Pelosi's initiative has triggered concerns both in the Biden administration and the Pentagon, with US national security officials "quietly working to convince House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of the risks of her potential trip to Taiwan." While in 1997 Beijing and Washington managed to solve the dilemma, this time the PRC leadership might opt for a harsher response, CNN and The Guardian have warned.,US Military Expansion in Asia-Pacific is Part of Plan to Take on Russo-China Tandem, Scholar Says28 July, 16:15 GMT,Washington has been fanning US-Sino tensions for quite a while, starting with Donald Trump's tariff war against Beijing, which has yet to be halted by Joe Biden. In a candid phone conversation, Chinese President Xi Jinping warned his American counterpart against "playing with fire" over Taiwan and explained that any involvement would ultimately backfire on the US.,"A Chinese general has publicly declared that Pelosi’s visit could entail a military response from Beijing," Brown says. "China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has repeated this. Now, with Xi’s 'You get burned playing with fire' metaphor, I think there would be a military response.",Senior Colonel Tan Kefei, a spokesperson for China's Ministry of Defense, stated on July 26: "If the US insists on taking its own course, the Chinese military will never sit idly by, and it will definitely take strong actions to thwart any external force's interference.",Tan highlighted that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan would "seriously violate the one-China principle" and "seriously harm China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and seriously damage the political foundation of China-US relations.",Meanwhile, Brown surmises that China's hypothetical response "might include a declared no-fly zone." However, there is a "much more elegant option," according to the author:,"[China could] take over Taiwan’s Kinmen Island, which is only two kilometers from Xiamen, off China’s Fujian Province coast. It would take only a few hours. I do not think Beijing will strike any US targets, unless attacked first.",North Korea Ready to Mobilize Nuclear Deterrence Forces at Any Moment - Kim Jong Un28 July, 01:13 GMT,The scholar also does not rule out that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's (DPRK) remark, made earlier this week, that Pyongyang is “fully prepared” for any military conflict with the United States is no coincidence.,"Does Biden know that China and nuclear-armed North Korea have had a mutual defense treaty since 1961?" Brown asks rhetorically. "NATO is being bled dry in Ukraine and it is imperial folly, hubris or geopolitical brinkmanship to think it can fight East Asia’s biggest and most powerful military, which is only 200 km from Taiwan.",For his part, Sisci believes that the PRC could opt for an asymmetrical non-military response. Still, the unfolding crisis is complicated by the fact that Washington is already involved in a confrontation with Russia, raising questions as to whether the US is capable of taking on Moscow and Beijing at once.,"I don’t think that either China or the US wants an escalation," says Sisci. "The talk between Biden and Xi Jinping was to avoid an escalation.",Brown also believes that Beijing's warnings have been heard by Washington.,"Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan has been bandied about by Washington for months now," he says. "A supposed Covid-19 infection scuttled the first trial balloon. After Biden’s phone call yesterday with Xi, I suspect another American 'postponement' is likely to occur. If not, then 'Katy, bar the door!'"。    

今年3月以来,为应对油价、食品价格和其他生活成本的普遍飙升,美联储已四次加息,加息幅度累计达225个基点,但美国通胀水平仍未出现明显下降。不少经济学家指出,通胀高企是美国政府对内和对外一系列政策共同作用的恶果。不顾专家警告 美国大量印钞首先,美国政府不顾专家警告,大量印钞。在新冠肺炎疫情暴发后,美国政府不顾舆论对通胀的担忧,出台了大规模的经济刺激法案,大量增发美元。仅从2020年3月到2021年3月的一年的时间里,美联储发放了近5万亿美元。当时包括美国前财政部长萨默斯在内的许多专家均发出警告称,刺激力度过大可能会引起经济过热。然而美国政府却对此置若罔闻。极度宽松的货币政策导致大量的货币进入流通。对美联储缩表的预期造成了美元大量回流,叠加美国的货币宽松政策,也进一步推动美国的通货膨胀。美煽动俄乌冲突并滥施制裁反遭通胀反噬其次,美国政府不断拱火浇油,导致了俄乌冲突的爆发,美国及其盟友还对俄罗斯滥施制裁,冲击全球的能源市场和粮食市场,导致全球能源、粮食和其他全球大宗商品价格的快速上涨,到头来对美国国内通胀推波助澜。美国挥舞贸易制裁大棒 推动本国通胀再次,从上届美国政府开始至今,美国对中国发起贸易战。然而,中国是美国最大的商品供应国,美国民众的生活对来自中国的进口商品有着极大的需求。美国多家智库和研究机构曾做过测算,如果美国取消全部对华加征关税,将使美国通胀率下降约一个百分点。

B | 从这个意义上来说,对中国的出口商品关税,也是推动美国通货膨胀整体水平的一个重要原因。治标不治本 《通胀削减法案》沦为政治秀受高物价和金融环境紧缩等多重因素影响,美国经济在今年第一和第二季度连续下滑,已陷入技术性衰退。通胀已成为美国民众最关注的经济议题之一。美国总统拜登今年8月16日签署《通胀削减法案》,法案虽以抗击通胀为名,但实际作用受到多方质疑。

C | 分析人士认为,该法案治标不治本,是民主党为中期选举拉票之举,很难真正缓解美国当前的高通胀困境。

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Published on:02:15:41


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